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Whether you have been around the sports betting game for a while, or are new as well as have been following the advice found on this site, chances are you have been to sites like Covers.com while doing research on upcoming games. Chances are you have also noticed the little "consensus" tidbit next to each game, telling you which team the public thinks will win. You may see that a team has a 70% public opinion and feel like that may be quite a good bet for you to make. While nothing is ever certain on the globe of sports betting, this feeling will be incorrect.
Among the most important concepts to always remember when betting on sports is this: in the event the public won more than they lost, sports books would cease to exist. Which is simplifying things just a little, remember, but generally speaking which is a true statement. Casinos and sport books will be in business to make money--lots of cash. Whenever they are losing money in a particular area, they are going to either change the guidelines or stop offering it entirely. Since the world of online sport books is alive and thriving, it is then safe soccer online to assume that they're making money and that, over the long term, the general public loses their money.
I have been telling people to subscribe to the theory of reverse public opinion for years now. As will be the case with a lot of the advice I have offered here at SportBooksReview, I'm not suggesting that men and women blindly bet against the team with higher public support every night--just keep it in your mind when doing your investigation. You will discover some situations where observing the public consensus and comparing it to line movement may be very eye-opening, and those are the situations where you can pounce.
Since we discussed in our Line Movement article, there are numerous of aspects that may cause sport books to move the line. One such factor is one team getting decidedly more income wagered on it than the other, creating a scenario where the books would lose a sizable sum of money if one team wins. Books would prefer to have a good, even sum of cash bet on both sides of a game, so that no matter which team wins, they'll come out on top due to the juice (newbies: betting $110 to win $100, the $10 will be the juice). This really is why it's really a good option to take a quick peek at the consensus percentages as well as the line movement for the games you want to bet on--there can sometimes be some very useful hidden information to give you one advantage.
When doing your investigation, if you happen to see a game where the general public is quite heavily betting on one team, say 70% or higher, yet the line did not move from it's original number, in which case you have to ask yourself why that is. Should the public is betting most of their money on a team, although the books don't move the number to attract betters for another team, then it's telling you something. Either the books are confident that the public will lose, or perhaps the big-money sharp betters have already made their bets on the additional team. No matter what, this is a significant red flag. Again, don't blindly bet your money on this strategy, but there will be situations where these numbers are too strong to ignore.
Usually, I like fading the public--especially when there is a strong public consensus betting on the underdog in a game. As you surely already know, the common theme of my articles is research--we're talking about your hard earned money here, so it's extremely important that you make every effort to find an advantage before you make your bet. As will be the case with a great deal of my advice, this is not meant to be a universal strategy, but part of a bigger overall strategy of doing your homework and ultimately finding solid money-making opportunities. If you follow the advice I've offered in this particular article and combine it with some of my other strategies, you will win money--the only question is: just how much?
Among the most important concepts to always remember when betting on sports is this: in the event the public won more than they lost, sports books would cease to exist. Which is simplifying things just a little, remember, but generally speaking which is a true statement. Casinos and sport books will be in business to make money--lots of cash. Whenever they are losing money in a particular area, they are going to either change the guidelines or stop offering it entirely. Since the world of online sport books is alive and thriving, it is then safe soccer online to assume that they're making money and that, over the long term, the general public loses their money.
I have been telling people to subscribe to the theory of reverse public opinion for years now. As will be the case with a lot of the advice I have offered here at SportBooksReview, I'm not suggesting that men and women blindly bet against the team with higher public support every night--just keep it in your mind when doing your investigation. You will discover some situations where observing the public consensus and comparing it to line movement may be very eye-opening, and those are the situations where you can pounce.
Since we discussed in our Line Movement article, there are numerous of aspects that may cause sport books to move the line. One such factor is one team getting decidedly more income wagered on it than the other, creating a scenario where the books would lose a sizable sum of money if one team wins. Books would prefer to have a good, even sum of cash bet on both sides of a game, so that no matter which team wins, they'll come out on top due to the juice (newbies: betting $110 to win $100, the $10 will be the juice). This really is why it's really a good option to take a quick peek at the consensus percentages as well as the line movement for the games you want to bet on--there can sometimes be some very useful hidden information to give you one advantage.
When doing your investigation, if you happen to see a game where the general public is quite heavily betting on one team, say 70% or higher, yet the line did not move from it's original number, in which case you have to ask yourself why that is. Should the public is betting most of their money on a team, although the books don't move the number to attract betters for another team, then it's telling you something. Either the books are confident that the public will lose, or perhaps the big-money sharp betters have already made their bets on the additional team. No matter what, this is a significant red flag. Again, don't blindly bet your money on this strategy, but there will be situations where these numbers are too strong to ignore.
Usually, I like fading the public--especially when there is a strong public consensus betting on the underdog in a game. As you surely already know, the common theme of my articles is research--we're talking about your hard earned money here, so it's extremely important that you make every effort to find an advantage before you make your bet. As will be the case with a great deal of my advice, this is not meant to be a universal strategy, but part of a bigger overall strategy of doing your homework and ultimately finding solid money-making opportunities. If you follow the advice I've offered in this particular article and combine it with some of my other strategies, you will win money--the only question is: just how much?
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